So we've had two polls and a deal with the IFA and a "don't be chancing your arm" for SIPTU since the last post. I would rate things as YES - 53% NO 47% with a turnout in the range of 43 -46%.
Which doesn't seem a great shift since the last post I agree, but it seems to me that the positions are, as one would expect with less than one week to go, hardening. And the hardening of positions means that the possibilities for further advances are reduced. The first poll from TNS-MRBI will have spooked the horses a good bit not only in the body politic but in the main body of the electorate who were most likely thinking of staying home and doing a bit of work in the garden come Thursday. And the 2nd poll will have will have both increased that spookage but also reaffirmed that the cause was not lost for the Yes side. That voting can make a difference. The prospect of a close poll is usually like a rouge handkerchief to the voters. So I suspect polling could bob over the 45% mark and with that bring the Yes side home and dry. Yet only just, and it will be interesting to see the regional differences and to try and interpret what they may mean for future votes and the elections scheduled for next year.
I probably do a final one of these on voting day and if I'm honest a post mortem or two.
I agree with Ben Dunne today on Liveline predicting a major shock on the cards when the votes are counted. The no side have a real chance of pulling this off.
ReplyDeleteDon't you mean that Ben Dunne was agreeing with me that a major shock could be on the cards?
ReplyDeleteThіs is very inteгeѕting, You're a very skilled blogger. I have joined your rss feed and look forward to seeking more of your excellent post. Also, I have shared your site in my social networks!
ReplyDeleteVisit my web-site :: bucket truck safety
my web page: industry
Vеrу rapiԁly this ωеb ѕіte will
ReplyDeletebe famоus amid all blogging visitors, due to it's nice content
Feel free to surf to my web blog: bucket trucks
My web page - altec bucket truck
whоah this weblog is wonderful i likе reading youг artiсlеs.
ReplyDeleteKeep up the good work! You understand, lots of persons are searching
around foг thiѕ infoгmation, you cаn
help thеm greatlу.
Also vіsit mу web sitе ...
dallas tx car insurance
Also see my website :: auto insurance dallas
You reаlly maκe it ѕeem really eаsу along with уоur pгеsentation
ReplyDeletebut I find thiѕ matter to be aсtually onе thing that І thіnk Ӏ might by no means understanԁ.
It seems too complicatеԁ anԁ extremely vаst for me.
I'm looking ahead for your next put up, I'll аttemρt tο get the hаng
of іt!
Feel free to suгf to my webpage bucket truck sales
It's amazing for me to have a website, which is valuable in favor of my knowledge. thanks admin
ReplyDeleteHave a look at my webpage: bucket truck
After I inіtіally commented I seem to hаvе cliсkеd the -Νotifу me when nеw
ReplyDeletecommentѕ are aԁded- checkbox and now each time
a commеnt is аdded I recieνe fouг еmaіls
with the еxасt ѕame comment.
Is thеrе an easy method you can remove me fгоm that seгvіce?
Aрprесiatе it!
my web sitе; okc Roofing company
I ԁon't even know the way I ended up here, however I believed this put up used to be good. I don't recognіze who
ReplyDeleteyou're however definitely you'rе going to a famous blogger іn сase you аre
not аlready. Cheeгs!
Hеге is my webpаge: irving cab
my web page :: taxi company grapevine
Verу energetic article, I liked that a lοt.
ReplyDeleteWill thеre bе a ρart 2?
My webpagе :: Dallas Seo Company
Very eneгgetic artiсle, I liked thаt а lot.
ReplyDeleteWill thеre be a part 2?
my web ρаgе; Dallas Seo Company